Page 265 - 1992 - XVIII Congresso Internazionale di Storia Militare
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U.S.  A.'ITISUBMA!UNE STR.ATIOCY  OURJNG  WOIU.D WAR l   231

           The  scracegy-making  Generai  Board  of  the  U.S.  Navy  obliged  with  a
        $ 285-million package far che coming year,  l 916. I t  was crnre.red around four new
        bactleships and four bacde cruisers. This was pare of a long-raoge pro posai envisio·
        oing a cwo-ocean war fought by che Unired Scaces withour aUies.  Ir d.id  not contem-
        plare direcr involvemenr in che currenr Eu.ropean war. ln che judgment ofWiUiam
        R. Bra.isced, the most carefu.l srudent of America's naval policy in che Progressive
        Era, "it is difficult co avoid che condusion that che board cooceived the mosr ambi-
        cious  program  feasible wichin the limicacions of American shipbuilding facilicies
        and then met:bodically  assembled  threars co  juscify ics  requescs" (Jl.
           Before this visionary request could be submitted co Congress, Wilson's scrin·
        genr diplomacy exrracted from Germany a  promise -  the so-called Arabic pledge
        of ~ September  1915 -  tbat passenger ships would be .sunk "ooly afrer warrung
        and savi.n.g  of li ves  provided rhey do not Oee  or  resist" (Sl. Tbis German  conces·
        sion and che encrenched American progressive-paciflSt aversi an ro war blocked na-
        val expansion for che rese of 1915. The admioiscratioo's buildup was ma de possible
        only by rhe barde of Jucland,  as explained above.
           WhiJe Wilson was dismissing Bricish  concero over cbe American naval con·
        srrucrion program of 1916, Germany was decid.ing ro resume uruescricred subma-
        rine war.fare againsr aliied and neucral  maririme commerce, effecrive  l  Febcuary
        1917. As a d.irecr resulr, by early Aprii  1917 Woodrow W'ilson was driveo co ask
        Congress  for  a  declatation  of war.
           The Germans knew that by resuming unresrricred submarine warface tbey would
        force  the Unired States  to dedare war, bue  Berlin  calculared th.at in che  inrerval
        berween the American dedaracion and full mobilizacion che U-boat blockade would
        srarve Brirain inro submission <9>.  ln strategie re.rms, therefore, Germany's decision
        co  si.nk  without warrung ali ships encering a  prorubiced zone around the Brirish
        lslands was che essen ce of ratiooality. lr was a perfecr cakulation based o n a faulty
        premise. Germany vasdy underesrimated the American industriai and social capa·
        city t·O  continue supplying materia! to Brira.in and Fran.ce whi1e mobiliz.ing a.n army.
           Pre·viar German naval planners had believed rbat rhe battleship was the ulri·
        mare naval weapons sysrem an d that guerr~ de course was an obsolere suaregy. They
        bad concencrared on building a  battlefleet aod had Jaid down fewer  thao  50 U·
        boars, but che impasse arJudand and the cavages their submarines inflicred on mer·
        cbaot shippi.ng bound for  Bricain forced the German navaJ  scrategisrs to reorienr
        their srraregy  from guerre d'ercadrt  t0 guerre de courre.
           Germany was nor u.nlque. Every major maririme narion had convenieody uo-
        denared the letha1 power of che submarine at the ooser ofWodd War l. As Ri-
        chard Compton-Hall observes in hi.s new book, Submarines and tk War al Sea, 1974-18,
        the U-boars' "ultimate pu.rpose -  the desrrucrion of Bricish commerce which the
        Frenchjeune Ec~le,  che young school of new French srraregy, had advocared many
        years eariier -  was en.visaged by only a few". (10>. The Bricish especially, but a Iso
        their naval  disc:iples,  the Americans,  had  antici.pared  "a  new Batde of Trafalgar
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